Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on every other scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if it is exactly what your is actually asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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